Maybe they are right. MAGA shouldn’t even bother showing up they’re so far ahead.
FatNoLifer on
Peter Thiel owns a chunk of this site too
Mikewold58 on
Lmaoo this isn’t even 538 or something this is exclusively a betting chart…I promise you Elon saw Trump was up 3% on the bets and dumped money into it boost the total to make it seem like he had an impact on the election. He is truly a sad man
Kowloon9 on
Trashy account doing its daily thing now.
Routine-Departure191 on
I immediately came to the conclusion, that Musk somehow gamed the betting market in order to get these numbers for zmTrump, i.e. placed a lot of small time bets on Trump through dummy accounts. Or influenced one or two bookies. I don’t even know if this is possible. But this is how desparate and pigheaded Musk seems to me. What a yokel.
DonRaccoonote on
When trump dies straining to take a dump these people are going to destroy themselves.
jprestonian on
Peter Thiel’s Polymarket? Yeah, that’s a super-objective bankroller of J.D. Vance’s last decade.
HipGuide2 on
How much money does Elon on it
Available_Weather_22 on
“All right my fellow Grifters…..our marketing has become a bit…stale lately. What can we do to reach into the Rubes pockets again……..??”
Aggravating_Rate_286 on
Fascists ideology typically requires them to convince us they’ve already won. They’ll never have numbers, their entire intent is to demoralize and depress the vote. Also holy shit the idea we’ve normalized betting on elections is so fucked.
seasix732 on
It’s a betting site. A couple large bets on Trump (probably not even $1M) would sway the odds like this. Ask Musk or Thiel of they placed any bets.
Cucker_Tarlson_666 on
*”We polled every remaining user on Twitter…”*
iqsr on
The propaganda here is manipulating the Trump supporters to believe there is no possible way he could lose so that when he does lose the only explanation is someone cheated and didn’t play by the rules. This sets the stage to, in the mind of the Trump supporter, “legitimately” contest the election results during which time the strategy is to get enough Senators to not certify the election and send the election to the House where there are a majority of Republican states than Dem states who will vote to give the election to Trump. (SCOTUS could be involved before or after the Senate and or House are involved.)
Ghstfce on
Remember when they did this leading up to the 2020 election and they were all dumbfounded when Trump lost?
rrsullivan3rd on
Reminder: End Wokeness is an FSB funded Russian troll account aimed at sowing division and hatred amongst the American population
CommunicationHot7822 on
Isn’t polymarket owned by Thiel?
VinylmationDude on
My calculations have Kamala at 141 2/3% chance to win the election. I did Steiner Math to get there & factored RFK Jr into the equation btw.
Select_Knowledge_575 on
Nate Silver himself mentioned in his book “The Signal and the Noise” that this specific website has the advantage of having money behind a poll (quote stolen by pseude-intellectual Leon). But: he also mentioned it heavily skews to a small number of non-USA betters and has such a small amount of money behind it making it easy to manipulate.
Panzer_Rotti on
Fun fact. There is apparently a whale on Polymarket called Fredi9999 who owned 7.2 million Trump shares on that site, way more than anyone else. Apparently, the timing of Musk’s recent tweets regarding polymarket correspond with Fredi9999’s purchase of Trump shares.
There is some speculation that Musk is Fredi9999 or is affiliated with him.
There is definitely some market manupulation going on as there is absolutely nothing logical to account for such a dramatic swing. This is likely a deliberate attempt to manufacture the appearance of momentum for Trump. Don’t be fooled by these shenanigans.
Betting markets are awful in terms of predictions. They are a curiosity, that is all.
timtexas on
Love this. Tell them it a safe bet. Give them bad odds. Then take their money knowing full well he is losing.
TheRockingDead on
The source is pretty much “WeMadeThisShitUp.com”
Top-Enthusiasm5634 on
If (and hopefully when) Kamala wins they’ll argue that democrats cheated because their imaginary polling numbers showed trump winning in landslide.
NoBalance1424 on
Literally any foreign campaign can contribute to this betting market to influence which way it goes, it’s peanuts to them
Master_Shoulder_9657 on
that is inaccurate. Nothing has happened recently to justify such a turn of events
25 Comments
Maybe they are right. MAGA shouldn’t even bother showing up they’re so far ahead.
Peter Thiel owns a chunk of this site too
Lmaoo this isn’t even 538 or something this is exclusively a betting chart…I promise you Elon saw Trump was up 3% on the bets and dumped money into it boost the total to make it seem like he had an impact on the election. He is truly a sad man
Trashy account doing its daily thing now.
I immediately came to the conclusion, that Musk somehow gamed the betting market in order to get these numbers for zmTrump, i.e. placed a lot of small time bets on Trump through dummy accounts. Or influenced one or two bookies. I don’t even know if this is possible. But this is how desparate and pigheaded Musk seems to me. What a yokel.
When trump dies straining to take a dump these people are going to destroy themselves.
Peter Thiel’s Polymarket? Yeah, that’s a super-objective bankroller of J.D. Vance’s last decade.
How much money does Elon on it
“All right my fellow Grifters…..our marketing has become a bit…stale lately. What can we do to reach into the Rubes pockets again……..??”
Fascists ideology typically requires them to convince us they’ve already won. They’ll never have numbers, their entire intent is to demoralize and depress the vote. Also holy shit the idea we’ve normalized betting on elections is so fucked.
It’s a betting site. A couple large bets on Trump (probably not even $1M) would sway the odds like this. Ask Musk or Thiel of they placed any bets.
*”We polled every remaining user on Twitter…”*
The propaganda here is manipulating the Trump supporters to believe there is no possible way he could lose so that when he does lose the only explanation is someone cheated and didn’t play by the rules. This sets the stage to, in the mind of the Trump supporter, “legitimately” contest the election results during which time the strategy is to get enough Senators to not certify the election and send the election to the House where there are a majority of Republican states than Dem states who will vote to give the election to Trump. (SCOTUS could be involved before or after the Senate and or House are involved.)
Remember when they did this leading up to the 2020 election and they were all dumbfounded when Trump lost?
Reminder: End Wokeness is an FSB funded Russian troll account aimed at sowing division and hatred amongst the American population
Isn’t polymarket owned by Thiel?
My calculations have Kamala at 141 2/3% chance to win the election. I did Steiner Math to get there & factored RFK Jr into the equation btw.
Nate Silver himself mentioned in his book “The Signal and the Noise” that this specific website has the advantage of having money behind a poll (quote stolen by pseude-intellectual Leon). But: he also mentioned it heavily skews to a small number of non-USA betters and has such a small amount of money behind it making it easy to manipulate.
Fun fact. There is apparently a whale on Polymarket called Fredi9999 who owned 7.2 million Trump shares on that site, way more than anyone else. Apparently, the timing of Musk’s recent tweets regarding polymarket correspond with Fredi9999’s purchase of Trump shares.
There is some speculation that Musk is Fredi9999 or is affiliated with him.
There is definitely some market manupulation going on as there is absolutely nothing logical to account for such a dramatic swing. This is likely a deliberate attempt to manufacture the appearance of momentum for Trump. Don’t be fooled by these shenanigans.
Betting markets are awful in terms of predictions. They are a curiosity, that is all.
Love this. Tell them it a safe bet. Give them bad odds. Then take their money knowing full well he is losing.
The source is pretty much “WeMadeThisShitUp.com”
If (and hopefully when) Kamala wins they’ll argue that democrats cheated because their imaginary polling numbers showed trump winning in landslide.
Literally any foreign campaign can contribute to this betting market to influence which way it goes, it’s peanuts to them
that is inaccurate. Nothing has happened recently to justify such a turn of events
What the hell does Putin/Saudis have on this guy?